Category Archives: 2) Collapse

The collapse of the financial system, breakdown of supply chains, blackouts, end of being able to make computer chips, and so on are symptoms of the underlying cause: LESS OIL AVAILABLE TO DO MILLIONS OF ESSENTIAL TASKS. Whether the house of cards goes from the financial shock of a natural disaster or from debt and corruption, blockage of the Suez canal, Export Land Model, or (nuclear war) — there is certain to be a series of dislocations that ultimately bring population down to 1 billion or less, and given past collapses, take about 20-30 years. Let’s hope there are some islands of sanity and that you, dear reader, are living on one of them!

Global oil risks in the early 21st century, Energy Policy 2011

[This is a large excerpt from an excellent 18-page paper I think predicts how the future will unfold as well as a good overview of our predicament. Alice Friedemann] Fantazzini, Dean; Höök, Mikael; Angelantoni, André. 2011. Global oil risks in … Continue reading

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Peak soil, Peak Phosphate, Peak Fertilizer means Peak Food

Amundson, R., et al. May 7, 2015. Soil and human security in the 21st century. Science 348. A group of leading soil scientists has summarized the precarious state of the world’s soil resources and the possible ramifications for human security … Continue reading

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Why do political, economic, and scientific leaders deny Peak Oil and Climate Change?

Why do political, economic, and scientific leaders deny Peak Oil and Climate Change? by Alice Friedemann, www.energyskeptic.com  last updated April 5, 2015 1) Political and economic leaders actually believe the neoclassical tenet that higher oil prices will result in more … Continue reading

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Richard Heinberg Only less (population) will Do

Only Less Will Do by Richard Heinberg,  Post Carbon Institute    Mar 16, 2015 [portions of this article were cut and rearranged] Almost nobody likes to hear about the role of scale in our global environmental crisis. That’s because if … Continue reading

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Gail Tverberg The oil glut and low prices reflect an affordability problem

Tverberg, G. March 9, 2015. The oil glut and low prices reflect an affordability problem. ourfiniteworld.com For a long time, there has been a belief that the decline in oil supply will come by way of high oil prices. Demand … Continue reading

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Jared Diamond Why Societies Collapse

Professor Jared Diamond, Professor of Physiology at UCLA, speaking at Princeton University about what we can learn from the collapse of ancient societies. Professor Diamond won the Pulitzer Prize for his book, ‘Guns, Germs and Steel’ in 1997. October 27, … Continue reading

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Bryan Appleyard Waiting for the lights to go out

Bryan Appleyard. October 16, 2005. Waiting for the lights to go out. We’ve taken the past 200 years of prosperity for granted. Humanity’s progress is stalling, we are facing a new era of decay, and nobody is clever enough to … Continue reading

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The Empire of the United States, Roman Empire, War, etc.

[Several articles and comments from energy groups follow] Steven Strauss. December 31, 2012. 8 Striking Parallels Between the U.S. and the Roman Empire. Is our republic coming to an unceremonious end? History may not be on America’s side. Lawrence Lessig’s … Continue reading

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Ward-Perkins “The Fall of Rome: And the End of Civilization”

Bryan Ward-Perkins. 2006. The Fall of Rome: And the End of Civilization. Oxford University Press. Notes from this book follow: A recent Guide to Late Antiquity, published by Harvard University Press, asks us “to treat the period between around 250 … Continue reading

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Drought in the news

Keep up with the latest drought news at the U.S. Drought Monitor. A ‘megadrought’ will grip U.S. in the coming decades, NASA researchers say. Researchers from NASA and Cornell and Columbia universities warned of an 80% chance of mega-droughts lasting … Continue reading

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