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Recent Posts
- Why the U.S. is ignoring nuclear winter in nuclear policies & strategies
- Oil choke points vulnerable to war, chaos, terrorism, accidents, & piracy
- Nuclear weapons must be reduced or we risk nuclear winter
- Fusion is already running out of fuel
- Peak Oil is Officially Here! World oil production peaked November of 2018
- Wood, the fuel of preindustrial societies, is half of EU renewable energy
- Rare Earth updates: recent research on why complex & intelligent life are rare in the Universe
- Book review of “Chip War” and the Fragility of microchips
- The tremendous material and energy toll of the digital economy
- Nuclear attack on U.S. could kill 90% of Americans
- What percent of Americans are rational?
- Book review of Lights Out. A Cyberattack. A Nation Unprepared. Surviving the Aftermath
- Off-Road vehicles & equipment need diesel fuel
- Book review of “Prime Movers of Globalization: the History & Impact of Diesel Engines & Gas Turbines”
- Mental Health. Coping with the future: notes from Jackson & Jensen’s “An Inconvenient Apocalypse”
Category Archives: Predictions
Admiral Rickover 1957: Energy Resources & Our Future
Preface. I’ve shortened and reworded this speech. All of Admiral Rickover’s speech is prescient and important, a few paragraphs: “We live in what historians may some day call the Fossil Fuel Age. Today coal, oil, and natural gas supply 93% … Continue reading
Global oil risks in the early 21st century, Energy Policy 2011
[This is a large excerpt from an excellent 18-page paper I think predicts how the future will unfold as well as a good overview of our predicament. Alice Friedemann] Fantazzini, Dean; Höök, Mikael; Angelantoni, André. 2011. Global oil risks in … Continue reading
Posted in Other Experts, Peak Oil, Scientists, Scientists Warnings to Humanity
Tagged contracting economy, debt, Export Land Model, food and fuel riots, peak oil, pensions, social welfare programs, supply chains
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Richard Heinberg: Only less will do
Richard Heinberg. March 16, 2015. Only Less Will Do. Post Carbon Institute. [portions of this article were cut, reworded, and rearranged] Almost nobody likes to hear about the role of scale in our global environmental crisis, because if growth is … Continue reading
Gail Tverberg The oil glut and low prices reflect an affordability problem
Tverberg, G. March 9, 2015. The oil glut and low prices reflect an affordability problem. ourfiniteworld.com For a long time, there has been a belief that the decline in oil supply will come by way of high oil prices. Demand … Continue reading
Posted in By People, Debt, Gail Tverberg, Inflation or Deflation
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ASPO: Top Ten 2014 News Stories Regarding Oil and the Economy
Andrews, S., Whipple, T. January 6, 2015. Top Ten 2014 News Stories Regarding Oil and the Economy. January 6, 2015. 1. Oil Price Crash The great price crash of 2014 could well turn out to be one of the defining … Continue reading
Posted in Organizations
Tagged 2014, aspo, debt, fracking, peak natural gas, peak oil, predictions, shale
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Naomi Oreskes on “The Collapse of Western Civilization”
A Chronicler of Warnings Denied: Naomi Oreskes Imagines the Future History of Climate Change By Claudia Dreifus, Oct 27, 2014, New York Times “I get from the scientific community a feeling that things are going from bad to worse. I … Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change, Scientists, Scientists Warnings to Humanity
Tagged climate change, collapse, free market, merchants of doubt oreskes, prevent regulation
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Miscellaneous predictions
Prediction: there will be more large and Megacities in the Future [As fossil fuels decline, large and super-large “megacities”, with over 20 million people, will emerge as rural populations are forced to migrate to cities as gas stations close and … Continue reading
Steven Kopits – peak 2014-2016
29 April 2013. ASPO-USA Peak Oil Review. Commentary: Interview with Steven Kopits by Steve Andrews My summary/edited down version (the full version is below): Oil companies are cancelling projects because their costs are going up, yet the price of oil … Continue reading
Posted in Investment, Peak Oil
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Homer-Dixon Key findings on resources and war / violence
The Project on Environmental Scarcities, State Capacity, and Civil Violence Key Findings Abot 50 experts from 5 countries, developed a detailed set of conceptual tools for thinking about environmental scarcity and state capacity. Environmental scarcity has 3 sources: reduced resource … Continue reading
Posted in 2) Collapse, Caused by Scarce Resources, Collapsed & collapsing nations, Scientists, Stages of, Violence, War
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Tom Whipple on how the energy crisis might unfold
The Peak Oil Crisis: An Announcement June 1, 2011. FNPC.com There are far too many people in nearly every country of the world that are dependent on a very complex supply chain to bring them the necessities of modern life … Continue reading
Posted in By People
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