Category Archives: Oil Shocks

Reserves exaggerated, Financial crash — new oil projects can’t get funding, any kind of war whether cyber or nuclear, key chokepoints strangled by regional wars, Ghawar and other giants begin their 9% decline per year, infrastructure rusting, Export Land Model — one way or another oil shocks are on the way and Peak Oil will create fear and panic across the world and crash the stock markets if that hasn’t already happened on its own from corruption

Book review of Failing states, collapsing systems biophysical triggers of political violence by Nafeez Ahmed

[ In this post I summarize the sections of Nafeez’s book about the biophysical factors that bring nations down (i.e. climate change drought & water scarcity, declining revenues after peak oil, etc.) The Media tend to focus exclusively on economic … Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture, Cascading Failure, Caused by Scarce Resources, Collapse of Civilizations, Collapsing, Drought, Drought, Exports decline to ZERO, Interdependencies, Limits To Growth, Middle East, Net Energy Cliff, Other Experts, Over Oil, Overpopulation, Peak Oil, Violence, War & Violence | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Civilization goes over the net energy cliff in 2022 — just 6 years away

[ Below are excerpts from 3 posts by Louis Arnoux (see the full versions here) and a 1-hour video explaining the Hill’s group report here.  Since then I’ve been researching the Hills Group report and didn’t know enough math to … Continue reading

Posted in Cascading Failure, EROEI remaining oil too low, How Much Left, Interdependencies, Limits To Growth, Net Energy Cliff, Predictions, Scientists | Tagged , , , , , , | 20 Comments

U.S. House meeting on terrorist threats to energy security

[ Even though this hearing was over a decade ago, the issues are still the same.  Nothing has changed. Alice Friedemann   www.energyskeptic.com  author of “When Trucks Stop Running: Energy and the Future of Transportation, 2015, Springer] House 109-70. July 27, … Continue reading

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Oil shocks and the potential for crisis U.S. House 2007

[ U.S. Congressional hearings have boasted of America’s energy independence for several years.  For those of you with a longer view, and doubts about the shale “fracked” oil revolution, here’s a house hearing about oil dependence.  Much of the testimony … Continue reading

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When Trucks Stop Running, So Does Civilization. Energy and the Future of Transportation.

When Trucks Stop Running. Energy and the Future of Transportation. Available at Springer, Amazon, Google Play, Barnes & Noble, Alibris January 16, 2016   by Alice Friedemann    www.energyskeptic.com Also see: When Trucks Stop Running: Table of Contents, Preface, References Virtually everything … Continue reading

Posted in Electric Grid, Electrification, Energy, Oil Shocks, Railroads, Ships and Barges, Transportation, Transportation, Trucks, When Trucks Stop Running | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on When Trucks Stop Running, So Does Civilization. Energy and the Future of Transportation.

When will the Alaska pipeline turn into an 800-mile-long Popsicle?

[Below are excerpts on the Alaskan pipeline from Rust: The Longest War by Jonathan Waldman.  This is a great book, yet leaves so many possible rust stories uncovered, that I hope Waldman writes Rust II (or any other topic — … Continue reading

Posted in Flow Rate, Threats to oil supply | Tagged , , | 8 Comments

Oil Choke Points vulnerable to war, chaos, terrorism, piracy

Source: Ballout, D. 2013. Choke Points: Our energy access points. Oil Change. Million Barrels per day / 2009 world Oil Transit Chokepoints 15.5 / Strait of Hormuz, 20 to 25% of the world’s daily crude oil production 13.6 / Strait … Continue reading

Posted in Chokepoints, Infrastructure Attacks, Oil & Gas, Oil Shocks, Threats to oil supply | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

The difference between depletion and decline rate in oil fields

Notes from 26 page: Höök, M., Davidsson, S., Johansson, S., Tang, X. 2014. Decline and depletion rates of oil production: a comprehensive investigation. Philosophical Transactions. Series A: Mathematical, physical, and engineering science, 372 Depletion rate is the rate that the … Continue reading

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Coal-to-liquids (CTL) can not compensate for declining oil & natural gas production

Notes from 23 page: Höök, M. & Aleklett, K. 2010. A review on coal-to-liquid fuels & its coal consumption. International journal of energy research Vol. 34 10:848-864 Annual decline in existing crude oil production is around 4-8%, equivalent to an … Continue reading

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Giant oil field decline rates and their influence on world oil production

Excerpts from: Hook, M., Hirsch, R., Aleklett, K. June 2009. Giant oil field decline rates and their influence on world oil production. Energy Policy 37(6): 2262-2272 Future trends in giant oil field decline rates             … Continue reading

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