Tag Archives: collapse

Peter Turchin: violence and social unrest in the U.S. and Europe likely by 2020

[ Peter Turchin, an expert on the cycles of history and the rise and fall of civilizations, has used mathematical models of complex systems to predict political instability. Debora MacKenzie at NewScientist interviewed him about his upcoming book “Ultrasociety” in … Continue reading

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Limits to Growth is on schedule. Collapse likely around 2020

[Unfortunately, this is not an April Fool’s joke… Alice Friedemann  www.energyskeptic.com] Pete Dolack.  April 1, 2016. Could an Economic Collapse be in Our Near Future?  Counterpunch. Climate scientists and others have in the past few years issued a steady stream … Continue reading

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Dmitry Orlov: How Russians survived the collapse of the Soviet Union

This is one of the best articles I’ve read about what collapse may be like, the best strategies to survive, and why the Russian way of life and culture prepared them far better for hard times than America.  Related posts … Continue reading

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How different nations might cope with oil shortages after Peak Oil

Notes from 9 page: Jörg Friedrichs. 2010. Global energy crunch: how different parts of the world would react to a peak oil scenario. Energy Policy 38 (8): 4562-4569. Oil is a finite resource, so given the importance of oil, the … Continue reading

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Richard Heinberg Only less (population) will Do

Only Less Will Do by Richard Heinberg,  Post Carbon Institute    Mar 16, 2015 [portions of this article were cut and rearranged] Almost nobody likes to hear about the role of scale in our global environmental crisis. That’s because if … Continue reading

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Bryan Appleyard Waiting for the lights to go out

Bryan Appleyard. October 16, 2005. Waiting for the lights to go out. We’ve taken the past 200 years of prosperity for granted. Humanity’s progress is stalling, we are facing a new era of decay, and nobody is clever enough to … Continue reading

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Ward-Perkins “The Fall of Rome: And the End of Civilization”

Bryan Ward-Perkins. 2006. The Fall of Rome: And the End of Civilization. Oxford University Press. Notes from this book follow: A recent Guide to Late Antiquity, published by Harvard University Press, asks us “to treat the period between around 250 … Continue reading

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Naomi Oreskes on “The Collapse of Western Civilization”

A Chronicler of Warnings Denied: Naomi Oreskes Imagines the Future History of Climate Change By Claudia Dreifus, Oct 27, 2014, New York Times “I get from the scientific community a feeling that things are going from bad to worse. I … Continue reading

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Miscellaneous predictions

Prediction: there will be more large and Megacities in the Future [As fossil fuels decline, large and super-large “megacities”, with over 20 million people, will emerge as rural populations are forced to migrate to cities as gas stations close and … Continue reading

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A Century from Now Concrete Will be Nothing But Rubble

Photo: road abandoned since 1984 in the Florida Keys Concrete is an essential part of our infrastructure. And it’s all falling apart, as Robert Courland’s 2011 book Concrete Planet makes clear. Courland writes that some of our infrastructure may last … Continue reading

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