Category Archives: Peter Turchin

Turchin studies the patterns to be seen in all civilizations that have collapsed. He’s an expert on past crashes, but not at all for modern times, because he doesn’t have a clue about how fossil fuels have created this one-time only civilization. But factors of collapse in the past like drought, war, and so on apply to our coming crash as well. Many of the past factors are “hidden” by oil which can delay failure by making recovery from natural disasters, mask fishery decline by sending giant factory ships to the arctic and antarctic etc., dumping enough natural gas fertilizer to grow crops on soil too eroded and depleted to grow much food without them, etc.