Category Archives: Experts

experts in energy, ecology, collapse, carrying capacity, biophysical and neoclassical economics, etc.

Paul Chefurka: A really nasty oscillating decline, wirth steep falls & desperate partial recoveries

“Approaching the Limits to Growth” is the name of my site, given before I was convinced we were already at the limits. I now recognize that we are past them, and that there was really no way to avoid ending … Continue reading

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Stephen Hawking: Escape to another planet before we go extinct

The only method of propulsion we have to escape the planet is, you guessed it, fossil fuels, and they don’t come anywhere near to getting us to the speed of light necessary to get to even the closest star. Nor … Continue reading

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Doug Tompkins, founder of The North Face & Pumalin NP in Chile

Article 1  Jimmy Langman. Spring 2012. Conversation: Doug Tompkins. Earth Island Journal. I see Chile as overdeveloped. We have gone way past the carrying capacity of Earth to sustain all these people, activities, and consumption. Using all government measurements, nobody … Continue reading

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The scientific consensus: we are screwed if we don’t act soon

May 21, 2013. Scientific consensus on maintaining Humanity’s life support systems in the 21st century.  Essential points for policy makers. Stanford University. Earth is rapidly approaching a tipping point. Human impacts are causing alarming levels of harm to our planet. … Continue reading

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Ministry of Defence Strategic Trends South Asia out to 2040

Strategic Trends Programme. Regional Survey – South Asia out to 2040. Ministry of Defence. Nafeez Ahmed. June 2013. Rising energy prices will challenge western way of life – MoD report. The Guardian. Converging global trends will dramatically lower prosperity in … Continue reading

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World Resources Institute: Within 12 years food production will go down

For a variety of reasons, this report concludes that food production is likely to go down within the next 12 years, not up. The World Resources Institute recently came out with a report that throws into doubt our ability to … Continue reading

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Noam Chomsky: If Nuclear War Doesn’t Get Us, Climate Change Will

The growing threats of nuclear war and environmental catastrophe make it hard to bet on the survival of our species. Watch the video at: http://www.thenation.com/video/173205/noam-chomsky-if-nuclear-war-doesnt-get-us-climate-change-will#  

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David Korowicz: Tipping point near-term systemic implications of a Peak in global Oil production

[ This is the most brilliant and succinct paper I’ve ever seen that explains the interdependencies of our economic, energy, infrastructure, food, and other systems.  It is so well-written that you ought to read the entire paper, my summary can’t … Continue reading

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Tariel Mórrígan: Peak Energy, Climate Change, and the Collapse of Global Civilization.

Morrigan, Tariel. Oct 2010. Peak Energy, Climate Change, and the Collapse of Global Civilization.  The current peak oil Crisis. University of California, Santa Barbara. Peak oil is happening now.  The era of cheap and abundant oil is over. • Global … Continue reading

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Nate Hagens rebuttal of Bill McKibbens “Politics: Global Warming’s Terrifying New Math”

Timeline: die-off: event odds low 10-15% next 10-20 years, though higher after that (1 Dec 2012). End-of-growth realized by public: 90% next few years, 99% in 5-7 years (1 Dec 2012) 17 Oct 2012 Rebuttal of Bill McKibbens 19 July … Continue reading

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