Category Archives: Predictions

Energy return on investment, peak oil, and the end of economic growth

Posted on April 22, 2014 by

David J. Murphy and Charles A. S. Hall. 2011. Energy return on investment, peak oil, and the end of economic growth in “Ecological Economics Reviews.” Robert Costanza, Karin Limburg & Ida Kubiszewski, Eds. Annals of the New York Academy of … Continue reading →

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Predictions by scientists and engineers

Posted on April 21, 2014 by

Charles A. Hall and David J. Murphy.  Predictions for 2011 We predict (with relatively little certainty assigned to it) that there will continue to be (for a while) a mild economic recovery, which will increase the demand for oil, and … Continue reading →

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Richard Heinberg – collapse in a few years to decades

Posted on April 21, 2014 by

China or the U.S.: Which Will Be the Last Nation Standing? Feb 3, 2010 by Richard Heinberg Silly me. Here I had thought that world leaders would want to keep their nations from collapsing. They must be working hard to … Continue reading →

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Paul Kingsnorth on Collapse

Posted on April 20, 2014 by

It’s the End of the World as We Know It . . . and He Feels Fine APRIL 17, 2014  DANIEL SMITH    New York Times [excerpts from a very long article] Kingsnorth is 41, tall, slim and energetic, with sweeping … Continue reading →

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Ashvin Pandurangi on social disorder and the military

Posted on April 14, 2014 by

The Debt-Dollar Discipline: Part III – Future Reorganization Dec 13, 2010. Ashvin Pandurangi [giant snips and rearrangement of material] Machines of societal oppression, whether they are equipment or computerized devices, cannot continue to function at their current rates of activity … Continue reading →

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The Future of Humanity: a Lecture by Isaac Asimov

Posted on March 1, 2014 by

The Future of Humanity: a Lecture by Isaac Asimov Newark College of Engineering, November 8, 1974  http://www.asimovonline.com/oldsite/future_of_humanity.html [I’ve truncated most of this very long article] We wouldn’t be in the mess we’re in [if people weren’t stupid, illustrated with humorous … Continue reading →

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Cascading failure + Liebig’s Law + Supply Chain Breakdown = Collapse of civilization

Posted on August 21, 2013 by

Declining supplies of high-quality, easy-to-get fossil fuels with no alternatives ready to replace them — ever — is the #1 issue. As long as we have oil, all problems can be solved, unless oil lasts long enough to deplete every … Continue reading →

Posted in 3) Fast Crash, Alternative Energy, Cascading Failure, Electricity Infrastructure, Infrastructure & Collapse, Oil & Gas, Predictions, Supply Chains | 2 Comments

Alfred McCoy in Salon Magazine on How America will collapse (by 2025)

Posted on August 17, 2013 by

How America will collapse by 2025. Four scenarios that could spell the end of the United States as we know it — in the very near future. Alfred McCoy. December 6, 2010. Salon.com Here are a few extracts from this … Continue reading →

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Ugo Bardi: Quite likely we’ll have a fast collapse, a “Seneca Cliff”

Posted on July 16, 2013 by

Excerpts from: Ugo Bardi. August 28, 2011. The Seneca effect: why decline is faster than growth. Ugo Bardi. July 15, 2013.The punctuated collapse of the Roman Empire. Could it be that the Seneca cliff is what we are facing, right … Continue reading →

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Paul Chefurka: A really nasty oscillating decline, wirth steep falls & desperate partial recoveries

Posted on July 15, 2013 by

“Approaching the Limits to Growth” is the name of my site, given before I was convinced we were already at the limits. I now recognize that we are past them, and that there was really no way to avoid ending … Continue reading →

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