Category Archives: Predictions

Doug Tompkins, founder of The North Face & Pumalin NP in Chile

Article 1  Jimmy Langman. Spring 2012. Conversation: Doug Tompkins. Earth Island Journal. I see Chile as overdeveloped. We have gone way past the carrying capacity of Earth to sustain all these people, activities, and consumption. Using all government measurements, nobody … Continue reading

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The scientific consensus: we are screwed if we don’t act soon

May 21, 2013. Scientific consensus on maintaining Humanity’s life support systems in the 21st century.  Essential points for policy makers. Stanford University. Earth is rapidly approaching a tipping point. Human impacts are causing alarming levels of harm to our planet. … Continue reading

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Ministry of Defence Strategic Trends South Asia out to 2040

Strategic Trends Programme. Regional Survey – South Asia out to 2040. Ministry of Defence. Nafeez Ahmed. June 2013. Rising energy prices will challenge western way of life – MoD report. The Guardian. Converging global trends will dramatically lower prosperity in … Continue reading

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World Resources Institute: Within 12 years food production will go down

For a variety of reasons, this report concludes that food production is likely to go down within the next 12 years, not up. The World Resources Institute recently came out with a report that throws into doubt our ability to … Continue reading

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David Korowicz: Tipping point near-term systemic implications of a Peak in global Oil production

[ This is the most brilliant and succinct paper I’ve ever seen that explains the interdependencies of our economic, energy, infrastructure, food, and other systems.  It is so well-written that you ought to read the entire paper, my summary can’t … Continue reading

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Tariel Mórrígan: Peak Energy, Climate Change, and the Collapse of Global Civilization.

Morrigan, Tariel. Oct 2010. Peak Energy, Climate Change, and the Collapse of Global Civilization.  The current peak oil Crisis. University of California, Santa Barbara. Peak oil is happening now.  The era of cheap and abundant oil is over. • Global … Continue reading

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Summary of Hirsch & Bezdek 2005 DOE Peak Oil study

A summary of: Hirsch, R. L., et al. February 2005. Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, mitigation, & risk management. Department of Energy. The peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and the world with an unprecedented risk management problem. … Continue reading

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Hirsch predicts Oil Shocks by 2017, panic, and stock market crash

I believe oil shocks could lead to a FAST CRASH Robert L. Hirsch was the author of the first US government report on peak oil in 2005, which recommended taking action to mitigate Peak Oil at least 20 years before … Continue reading

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Tad Patzek: Our complex civilization will cease to exist 20-30 years from now

Tad Patzek. 9 July 2012. What to do? Without the high energy density, fungible fuels flowing at high rates through our complex civilization, our society will cease to exist within 20-30 years from today. A Public Agenda survey in 2009 … Continue reading

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Gail Tverberg (Gail the Actuary)

Gail the Actuary at ourfiniteworld.com and theoildrum.com writes outstanding columns on peak oil and finance. There are so many graphs that I’m not going to summarize all of this article, you need to read it!  Most people assume that lower … Continue reading

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