Category Archives: 3) Fast Crash

The case for a fast, rather than a slow one. Most societies crashed in 20 years or less. There has never been or will be again a crash like ours, where the world of 7 billion people became utterly dependent on a non-renewable source of energy — fossil fuels.

The electric grid, critical interdependencies, vulnerabilities: U.S. House hearing 2003

Posted on June 20, 2015 by

Preface.  Of course, this website explains why the grid can’t stay up without fossil fuels, so by 2050 the grid will only be up in a few places, perhaps China, the Middle East, and Russia if war hasn’t brought on … Continue reading →

Posted in Blackouts, Cascading Failure, Congressional Record U.S., CyberAttacks, Interdependencies | Tagged , , , , , | Comments Off on The electric grid, critical interdependencies, vulnerabilities: U.S. House hearing 2003

The difference between depletion and decline rate in oil fields

Posted on June 9, 2015 by

Notes from 26 page: Höök, M., Davidsson, S., Johansson, S., Tang, X. 2014. Decline and depletion rates of oil production: a comprehensive investigation. Philosophical Transactions. Series A: Mathematical, physical, and engineering science, 372 Depletion rate is the rate that the … Continue reading →

Posted in Flow Rate, Oil, Peak Oil | Comments Off on The difference between depletion and decline rate in oil fields

Hirsch, R.L. Mitigation of maximum world oil production: shortage scenarios

Posted on June 6, 2015 by

Notes from: Hirsch, R.L., 2008. Mitigation of maximum world oil production: Shortage scenarios. Energy Policy, 36(2): 881–889.  World GDP Growth & World Oil Production Growth Have Tracked For Decades:   A 1% change in current world oil production equates to … Continue reading →

Posted in Peak Oil, Robert Hirsch | Comments Off on Hirsch, R.L. Mitigation of maximum world oil production: shortage scenarios

Coal-to-liquids (CTL) can not compensate for declining oil & natural gas production

Posted on June 6, 2015 by

Notes from 23 page: Höök, M. & Aleklett, K. 2010. A review on coal-to-liquid fuels & its coal consumption. International journal of energy research Vol. 34 10:848-864 Annual decline in existing crude oil production is around 4-8%, equivalent to an … Continue reading →

Posted in Coal to Liquids (CTL), Flow Rate | Tagged , , , , | Comments Off on Coal-to-liquids (CTL) can not compensate for declining oil & natural gas production

How different nations have coped with oil shortages

Posted on June 5, 2015 by

Preface. In this article, Friedrichs shows how differently Cuba, North Korea, and Japan coped after a sudden loss of most of their oil.  I first became aware of how essential oil was for nations when I read Daniel Yergin’s 1991 … Continue reading →

Posted in Cuba, North Korea, Oil shock collapse, Peak Oil | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on How different nations have coped with oil shortages

Peak fossil fuels limits climate change to low-to-medium outcomes in IPCC report

Posted on June 4, 2015 by

Excerpts from 24 page:  Höök, M., Tang, X. 2013. Depletion of fossil fuels and anthropogenic climate change: a review. Energy Policy, 52: 797-809 Conclusion of paper: Fossil fuel constraints will limit anthropogenic climate impact towards the low-medium outcomes presented by … Continue reading →

Posted in ! PEAK EVERYTHING, But not from climate change: Peak Fossil Fuels, Climate Change, Supply Chains, Transportation | Tagged , , , | Comments Off on Peak fossil fuels limits climate change to low-to-medium outcomes in IPCC report

Peak Coal in China likely to be around 2024

Posted on June 2, 2015 by

Mohr, S. H., et al. February 1, 2015. Projection of world fossil fuels by country. Fuel volume 141: 120-135. We model world fossil fuel production by country including unconventional sources. Scenarios suggest coal production peaks before 2025 due to China. … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Peak Coal | Comments Off on Peak Coal in China likely to be around 2024

Global oil risks in the early 21st century, Energy Policy 2011

Posted on May 12, 2015 by

[This is a large excerpt from an excellent 18-page paper I think predicts how the future will unfold as well as a good overview of our predicament. Alice Friedemann] Fantazzini, Dean; Höök, Mikael; Angelantoni, André. 2011. Global oil risks in … Continue reading →

Posted in Other Experts, Peak Oil, Scientists, Scientists Warnings to Humanity | Tagged , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Global oil risks in the early 21st century, Energy Policy 2011

Peak soil, peak phosphate, peak fertilizer means Peak Food

Posted on May 9, 2015 by

Amundson, R., et al. May 7, 2015. Soil and human security in the 21st century. Science 348. A group of leading soil scientists has summarized the precarious state of the world’s soil resources and the possible ramifications for human security … Continue reading →

Posted in Agriculture Infrastructure, Peak Food, Peak Topsoil, Scientists Warnings to Humanity, Soil | Tagged , , , | Comments Off on Peak soil, peak phosphate, peak fertilizer means Peak Food

A third of Nuclear Reactors are going to die of old age in the next 10-20 years

Posted on April 3, 2015 by

70% of reactors are over 25 years old, 23% are over 35 years old, so within 10 to 20 years about a third will have to be decommissioned, far more than the 63 under construction.  Some are bound to fail … Continue reading →

Posted in ! PEAK EVERYTHING, Nuclear Power Energy | Tagged , | 7 Comments