Category Archives: Peak Oil

Admiral Rickover 1957: Energy Resources & Our Future

Posted on June 16, 2015 by

Preface. I’ve shortened and reworded this speech. All of Admiral Rickover’s speech is prescient and important, a few paragraphs: “We live in what historians may some day call the Fossil Fuel Age. Today coal, oil, and natural gas supply 93% … Continue reading →

Posted in An Overview, By People, Dependence on Oil, Energy Slaves, Limits To Growth, Military, Nuclear Waste, Other Experts, Overpopulation, Overshoot, Peak Oil | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments

The difference between depletion and decline rate in oil fields

Posted on June 9, 2015 by

Notes from 26 page: Höök, M., Davidsson, S., Johansson, S., Tang, X. 2014. Decline and depletion rates of oil production: a comprehensive investigation. Philosophical Transactions. Series A: Mathematical, physical, and engineering science, 372 Depletion rate is the rate that the … Continue reading →

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Hirsch, R.L. Mitigation of maximum world oil production: shortage scenarios

Posted on June 6, 2015 by

Notes from: Hirsch, R.L., 2008. Mitigation of maximum world oil production: Shortage scenarios. Energy Policy, 36(2): 881–889.  World GDP Growth & World Oil Production Growth Have Tracked For Decades:   A 1% change in current world oil production equates to … Continue reading →

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How different nations have coped with oil shortages

Posted on June 5, 2015 by

Preface. In this article, Friedrichs shows how differently Cuba, North Korea, and Japan coped after a sudden loss of most of their oil.  I first became aware of how essential oil was for nations when I read Daniel Yergin’s 1991 … Continue reading →

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Global oil risks in the early 21st century, Energy Policy 2011

Posted on May 12, 2015 by

[This is a large excerpt from an excellent 18-page paper I think predicts how the future will unfold as well as a good overview of our predicament. Alice Friedemann] Fantazzini, Dean; Höök, Mikael; Angelantoni, André. 2011. Global oil risks in … Continue reading →

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Charles A. S. Hall Conventional oil peak was 2005

Posted on March 1, 2015 by

The global production of conventional oil began to decline in 2005, and has followed a path over the last 11 years very close to our scenarios assuming low estimates of extractable ultimate resource (1.9 Gbbl) John L. Hallock Jr., Wei … Continue reading →

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Limits to Growth

Posted on January 12, 2015 by

Preface. What follows are a bunch of articles on limits to growth, sometimes just a link, sometimes excerpts. Today Wall Street Journal and other neocapitalists scorn the idea, insisting that human ingenuity and substitution can overcome all obstacles, and they … Continue reading →

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Out of time: 50 years to make a transition, 210 years at the current rate

Posted on September 30, 2014 by

If transportation is to be electrified, then electric generation and the electric grid must be doubled, or even tripled. So by Cobb’s calculation, that would push back the transition time to renewables 420 to 630 years.  Alice Friedemann. By Kurt … Continue reading →

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Signs of Peakiness, oil companies are running out of cash

Posted on August 29, 2014 by

Andrew Nikiforuk, August 29, 2014. A big summer story you missed: Soaring oil debt. The Tyee.  Over 100 of the world’s largest energy companies are running out of cash. Photo of Keystone pipeline in Nebraska by Shannon Ramos. Creative Commons … Continue reading →

Posted in Debt, Energy Markets, Peak Oil | 1 Comment

Steven Kopits – peak 2014-2016

Posted on May 17, 2014 by

29 April 2013. ASPO-USA Peak Oil Review. Commentary: Interview with Steven Kopits by Steve Andrews My summary/edited down version (the full version is below): Oil companies are cancelling projects because their costs are going up, yet the price of oil … Continue reading →

Posted in Investment, Peak Oil | 1 Comment