Category Archives: Predictions

We already have a date for the zenith of civilization: 2025-2026

Posted on January 30, 2025 by energyskeptic

We already have a date for the zenith of civilization. May 2024 [Preface. I have no idea who wrote this at https://futurocienciaficcionymatrix.blogspot.com/ but it rings true to me based on what I know. This is the google English translation of … Continue reading →

Posted in By People | Tagged market bubbles, peak copper, peak money, peak oil 2018 | Leave a comment

Book review of Turchin’s “Secular Cycles” and “War & Peace & War”

Posted on May 1, 2023 by energyskeptic

Preface. This is a book review of both “Secular Cycles” and “War & Peace & War”. I recommend reading “War & Peace & War” first, then the more difficult “Secular Cycles”. Turchin has found patterns in the rise and fall … Continue reading →

Posted in 2) Collapse, Overpopulation, Peter Turchin, Predictions, Social Disorder, Stages of, War Books | Tagged collapse, crisis phase, decline and fall, secular cycles, Turchin, violence, war | Comments Off

USGS Groundwater Depletion study of aquifer decline in the U.S.

Posted on January 7, 2022 by energyskeptic

Preface. I summarize two major research papers on the state of the Ogallal below. It and many other aquifers are depleting rapidly, and polluted from pesticides, feedlot waste, intruding salts, and other pollution. Rainfall isn’t replenishing the Ogallala. Many won’t … Continue reading →

Posted in Government study predictions, Groundwater, Peak Food, Peak Water | Tagged aquifer, california, depletion, groundwater, Ogallala, USGS | 1 Comment

Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future

Posted on August 12, 2021 by energyskeptic

Preface. This is another “Scientists Warnings to Humanity” by many famous scientists, including Paul & Anne Erlich, John Harte, Peter Raven, and Mathis Wackernagel. Some of the challenges they point to are loss of biodiversity and consequent 6th mass extinction, … Continue reading →

Posted in Scientists, Scientists Warnings to Humanity | Tagged biodiversity, overpopulation | 6 Comments

IEA 2018 World Energy Outlook: Peak oil is here, oil crunch by 2023

Posted on March 10, 2019 by energyskeptic

Preface. Excerpts from the cleantechnica article below make it clear why there is likely to be a supply crunch as soon as the early 2020s, and the investment implications. Here’s what I’ve gleaned from other summaries of the report. Although … Continue reading →

Posted in Investment, Oil & Gas Fracked, Peak Oil | Tagged decline rate, IEA 2018, oil discoveries, peak oil | 4 Comments

How United Nations scientists are preparing for the end of capitalism

Posted on March 7, 2019 by energyskeptic

Preface. The article below was written by Nafeez Ahmed, who wrote one of my favorite books “Failing States, Collapsing Systems: BioPhysical Triggers of Political Violence“. Ahmed writes: “Most observers have no idea of the current biophysical realities – that the driving … Continue reading →

Posted in Crash Coming Soon, Organizations | Tagged biophysical economics, captialism, collapse, EROI, Nafeez Ahmed, United Nations | 3 Comments

The coming crash in 2020 from high diesel prices for cleaner emission of oceangoing ships

Posted on November 21, 2018 by energyskeptic

Preface. Ships made globalization possible, and play an essential role in our high standard of living, carrying 90% of global goods traded. But the need for a new, cleaner fuel may cause the next economic crisis. Currently ships can burn … Continue reading →

Posted in By People, Crash Coming Soon, Peak Oil, Ships and Barges | Tagged 2020, financial crash, ocean ships, peak diesel | 3 Comments

Homer-Dixon predicts 20 to 30% chance of Trump causing financial crisis, war, civil violence, and authoritarianism over next 5 years

Posted on June 19, 2018 by energyskeptic

[ Homer-Dixon wrote an article over a year ago for the Toronto Globe and Mail titled “Crisis analysis, how much damage can Trump do? (A lot). How’d his prediction turn out? Within this article is a link showing 4 major … Continue reading →

Posted in Crash Coming Soon, Scientists, Social Disorder, War | Tagged authoritarianism, civil violence, financial crash, Trump, war | 1 Comment

Summary of German Armed Forces Peak Oil Study

Posted on August 14, 2017 by energyskeptic

[This is a summary I first published in 2011. It’s important, so I’ve re-posted it today. According to Der Spiegel this study was leaked and not meant for publication. The document concludes that the public must be made aware of … Continue reading →

Posted in Books, GOVERNMENT, Government study predictions, Military, Over Oil, Peak Oil, Peak Resources, War, War Books | Tagged and Technologies, Armed Forces, Capabilities, collapse, fast crash, german peak oil, in the 21st Century Environmental Dimensions of Security, market crash, peak oil, war | 4 Comments

Limits to Growth? 2016 United Nations report provides best evidence yet

Posted on April 23, 2017 by energyskeptic

Preface. This is a summary of a United Nations report that ought to scare the pants off of anyone who understands exponential growth. Here are a few examples what that means: If 2 grams of gold grew at a 5% … Continue reading →

Posted in ! PEAK EVERYTHING, Distribution of Wealth, Exponential Growth, Limits To Growth, Organizations, Other Experts | Tagged exponential growth, limits to growth, peak everything | 5 Comments