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Category Archives: Predictions
Energy return on investment, peak oil, and the end of economic growth
David J. Murphy and Charles A. S. Hall. 2011. Energy return on investment, peak oil, and the end of economic growth in “Ecological Economics Reviews.” Robert Costanza, Karin Limburg & Ida Kubiszewski, Eds. Annals of the New York Academy of … Continue reading
Posted in Charles A. S. Hall, EROEI Energy Returned on Energy Invested, EROEI remaining oil too low, How Much Left, Peak Oil, Scientists
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Predictions by scientists and engineers
Charles A. Hall and David J. Murphy. Predictions for 2011 We predict (with relatively little certainty assigned to it) that there will continue to be (for a while) a mild economic recovery, which will increase the demand for oil, and … Continue reading
Posted in Scientists
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Richard Heinberg – collapse in a few years to decades
China or the U.S.: Which Will Be the Last Nation Standing? Feb 3, 2010 by Richard Heinberg Silly me. Here I had thought that world leaders would want to keep their nations from collapsing. They must be working hard to … Continue reading
Posted in By People, Richard Heinberg
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Paul Kingsnorth on Collapse
It’s the End of the World as We Know It . . . and He Feels Fine APRIL 17, 2014 DANIEL SMITH New York Times [excerpts from a very long article] Kingsnorth is 41, tall, slim and energetic, with sweeping … Continue reading
Posted in By People
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Ashvin Pandurangi on social disorder and the military
The Debt-Dollar Discipline: Part III – Future Reorganization Dec 13, 2010. Ashvin Pandurangi [giant snips and rearrangement of material] Machines of societal oppression, whether they are equipment or computerized devices, cannot continue to function at their current rates of activity … Continue reading
Posted in By People, Social Disorder
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The Future of Humanity: a Lecture by Isaac Asimov
The Future of Humanity: a Lecture by Isaac Asimov Newark College of Engineering, November 8, 1974 http://www.asimovonline.com/oldsite/future_of_humanity.html [I’ve truncated most of this very long article] We wouldn’t be in the mess we’re in [if people weren’t stupid, illustrated with humorous … Continue reading
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Alfred McCoy in Salon Magazine on How America will collapse (by 2025)
How America will collapse by 2025. Four scenarios that could spell the end of the United States as we know it — in the very near future. Alfred McCoy. December 6, 2010. Salon.com Here are a few extracts from this … Continue reading
Posted in 3) Fast Crash, By People
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Paul Chefurka: A really nasty oscillating decline, wirth steep falls & desperate partial recoveries
“Approaching the Limits to Growth” is the name of my site, given before I was convinced we were already at the limits. I now recognize that we are past them, and that there was really no way to avoid ending … Continue reading
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