How to survive a nuclear winter

Preface. New Zealand and other countries in the southern hemisphere are expected to be safer since they are far from nuclear targets. But they would still experience extreme temperature drops and less sunlight, though less than the Northern hemisphere.  Still, there would be plenty of challenges from a global economic collapse, imports such as medicine, food, fossil fuels and other essential goods, and less food grown. In the northern hemisphere ozone losses would peak at 75%, but even the southern hemisphere would reach 20-40% ozone loss and consequent protection from UV rays for humans, animals, and plants leading to less crop production.

Posts on nuclear war can be found here, and on nuclear winter here.

Alice Friedemann  www.energyskeptic.com  Author of Life After Fossil Fuels: A Reality Check on Alternative Energy; When Trucks Stop Running: Energy and the Future of Transportation”, Barriers to Making Algal Biofuels, & “Crunch! Whole Grain Artisan Chips and Crackers”.  Women in ecology  Podcasts: WGBH, Financial Sense, Jore, Planet: Critical, Crazy Town, Collapse Chronicles, Derrick Jensen, Practical Prepping, Kunstler 253 &278, Peak Prosperity,  Index of best energyskeptic posts

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The insect apocalypse will kill billions more people than climate change

 

Preface. Below are excerpts from two articles on why and how the extinction of insects could lead to our own extinction and many other species. Although climate change is more deadly now, an insect apocalypse will kill far more people and other species in the future. Billions of people, birds, plants, animals, fish, and more will starve since 75% of crops depend on insect pollination. They also control insect pests, break down organic matter to recycle their nutrients for new plants, aerate the soil, disperse seeds and more (Goulson D (2019) The insect apocalypse, and why it matters. Current Biology).

E. O. Wilson explained the problem in greater detail:  “If invertebrates were to disappear, I doubt that the human species could last more than a few months. Most of the fishes, amphibians, birds, and mammals would crash to extinction about the same time. Next would go the bulk of the flowering plants and, with them, the physical structure of the majority of the forests and other terrestrial habitats of the world. The earth would rot. As dead vegetation piled up and dried out, narrowing and closing the channels of nutrient cycles, other complex forms of vegetation would die off, and, with them, the last remnants of the vertebrates. The remaining fungi, after enjoying a population explosion of stupendous proportions, would also perish. Within a few decades, the world would return to a state of a billion years ago, composed primarily of bacteria, algae, and a few other very simple multicellular plants.”

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The war on drugs. A book review of “Chasing the scream”

Source: Tim Kelly

Preface. The founder of the War on Drugs in the U.S., Harry Anslinger, wanted to build as large a bureaucracy as possible. But a war on narcotics alone—cocaine and heroin, outlawed in 1914—wasn’t enough. They were used only by a tiny minority, and you couldn’t keep an entire department alive on such small crumbs.

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Peak crude oil did not happen in 2018. But we are running out of time

Preface.   Using EIA International Data for world crude oil + condensate oil monthly production to compare January through October in 2024 and 2025, it looks like about 850 million more barrels will be produced in 2025 than in 2024.  And add on some refinery gains, which I did not include. But 2026 will most likely be peak USA oil. And world oil due to the Iran War and shut-down of wells that will produce less after the Strait of Hormuz opens due to loss of pressure and other technical problems to re-open them.

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Sheriffs have too much power

Preface. In August 2017 President Trump pardoned Joe Arpaio for disobeying a 2011 court order that barred his deputies from detaining people based on their immigration status. He was found guilty of continuing these traffic patrols for 18 months after the order was issued. Although he faced a possible jail sentence, he was pardoned by President Donald Trump before he could be sentenced. resulting in the charge being dismissed.

But he committed much worse crimes. The New York Times has a description of what prisons were like here, and below is an account from Johann Hari’s 2016 book “Chasing the Scream: The First and Last days of the War on Drugs”, a book I highly recommend since explains how the war on drugs started way back in 1930, mainly a war to suppress minorities. Continue reading

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Book review “They poisoned the world: Life & death in the age of Forever Chemicals”

Preface. This is a book review of Blake’s 2025 They Poisoned the World: Life & Death in the Age of Forever Chemicals.

This is a history of how the existential threat of PFAs and other forever chemicals came to be. How the U.S. government collaborated with Dupont since the 1820s and more recently helped the government hide the damage they did to people’s health and the environment so that both Dupont and U.S. government could avoid the financial consequences.

No wonder people don’t trust the government and voted for extremist politicians who will only make their lives even worse as institutions that protect Americans are being dismantled, such as the EPA, CDC and other health institutions, and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and many others. It is up to you to protect yourself now, a good reason to buy this book, and for those of you concerned about overshoot and where to be, another consideration to research. Hopefully far from DuPont/DOW and other chemical manufacturers…

What really got me was when whistleblowers in small towns were shunned by Dupont workers, who say their lawsuit as having the potential to take away their jobs, if Dupont might move their factory elsewhere. When you consider how much damage manufacturing does to surrounding communities, it seems crazy to try to bring manufacturing back, especially since with peak oil in 2018 they won’t be in business more than a decade or so, and most of the jobs too low-paying and miserable for people to take them. Indeed, there are almost half a million manufacturing jobs open that people are not applying for.

I was also struck by how it was DuPont that taught the Tobacco industry how to cast doubt and hide findings of their own scientists that smoking was deadly. So this book will never be out of date because it has the history of how companies that made forever chemicals kept it secret for so long

For those of you who voted for Trump, the author has this to say that might interest you:

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John Howe on one child per woman: still too high to stay under limits to growth curves

population 1 child per woman not good enough john howe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preface. I first published this post in 2012 and have updated it today. Below I summarize a part of a 2012 article by John Howe on having one child per woman to stay under the oil depletion curve.

In the last two years, more and more experts in mainstream media are predicting collapse, which is quite startling since in the past it was obligatory to offer happy endings, because people expect that (especially in the U.S. due to TV and Science Fiction).

In the past, it was difficult to impossible to publish articles and books about collapse outside of scientific journals and university presses, since the publisher wouldn’t make money. Plus, most mainstream media is infotainment, and when serious articles are printed, forces blinders of economic and political over everything, ignoring the actual triggering biophysical factors, such as climate change, overpopulation, and drought.  Also ignored are the dozens of factors in the overshoot polycrisis (biodiversity, freshwater and soil depletion). Only climate change is mentioned.  And you certainly won’t often read about how the planet can only support about 400 million without our fossil fueled civilization.

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Ted Trainer: The radical implications of a zero growth economy

Projections of business as usual from Meadow’s et al “Limits to Growth”

Preface. Clearly infinite growth on a finite planet is impossible. Returning the world to ecological health requires humans to live within ecological boundaries in a steady state economy. But today systems cannot exist without growth as Trainer explains in this paper, which you can also find online. I wish it were more well known because I think it sums up well how our current economic system needs to be revised.

Although Herman Daly’s (2008) “Steady State Economy” is a model for many ecologists, Trainer explains that what Daly recommends has some pretty serious implications that will require a radical cultural and economic change.

I don’t see any way this can happen. It is not even going to after societies crash and reboot. Inequality and slavery are too hard-wired in the human system across time and cultures. Societies will have to live within ecological limits, but without equality and often slavery. Though Scott (2018) offers some hope for slaves, in the past they could escape to join other groups or nomadic tribes.

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Part 5 Raven Rock. Hidey holes for government and military officials to carry on democracy after nuclear war destroys the planet

Preface. This is the fifth part of my book review of: Graff, G.M. 2018. Raven Rock. The Story of the U.S. Governments Secret Plan to Save Itself–While the Rest of Us Die. There are many doomsday shelters listed in this book, plus many missing because they are Top Secret.

I’m interested in the government’s plans for a nuclear war because I have always assumed the government would have plans for the permanent emergency of declining fossil fuels.  After reading this book, it is obvious there is no way to prepare for a permanent emergency of going back to a non-fossil fueled civilization mainly dependent on wood for energy, structures, and more. Although the aftermath of a nuclear war isn’t permanent, the nuclear winter will last up to 15 years, far too long to feed and house billions of people, especially since the UV radiation and ice age will drastically reduce crop production.

The only solution is for industry and government to ask for less consumption. But that can’t happen in a Ponzi capitalist economic system that depends on endless growth.  And to do everything possible to prevent nuclear war. The way to go about this is explained in this July 16, 2025 scientists warning to humanity here:  The Nobel Laureate Assembly Declaration for the Prevention of Nuclear War

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Become a Bison rancher

Preface. Far more buffalo can be grazed per acre than cattle and improve rather than destroy the ecosystem like cattle do. It’s likely wild bison will return to the Great Plains in the future.  Already there are fewer people in areas where the Ogalalla aquifer has been depleted than when Native Americans roamed the tall grass prairie.  And a quarter of U.S. food.

Below are excerpts from O’Brien’s book “Buffalo for the broken heart”. It may make you think twice about being a bison rancher or ranch hand postcarbon, but the life and work sound more interesting than farming in many ways, especially if you love being in the Great Outdoors.  Also below are excerpts from Lott’s book “American Bison”, mostly about bison behavior.

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