Republicans Brains are wired to deny science & reality

Preface. This is my book review of Chris Mooney’s 2012 “The Republican Brain. The Science of Why They Deny Science—and Reality”.

This has grown from a review of this book (far below) to more recent science and writing on the conservative mind.  People who want certainty and do not like change or changing their mind have been with us since humans evolved. This is why they are under-represented in higher education — you have to be able to change your mind, to understand why evolution and not God created live on earth.

Another post discussing the difference between people who fear change and those who are curious and exploring is: Garcia, H. 2019. Sex, Power, and Partisanship. How evolutionary science makes sense of our political divide. This is a more profound and apt way of comparison to go beyond political labels of “liberals” and “conservatives” to show how these mindsets  have been around since we evolved 300,000 years ago. Both are necessary for survival. For example, curious liberals open to change and revising what they think may be more likely to migrate to greener pastures and die, while the stay-at-home “conservatives” survived. Or vice versa.

Continue reading

Posted in Evolution, Human Nature | Tagged , , , , , | 7 Comments

If oil is being created all the time, we will never run out

 

Preface. The theory that oil is always being created underground is known as abiotic, or Gold’s theory. This post consists of excerpts from the best paper I’ve found on why this is nonsense. Even if abiotic processes are happening, it is too slow to matter. More oil has been consumed than discovered since 1975. Petroleum took from tens to hundreds of millions of years to create and was made on an Earth under conditions not likely to ever happen again (read the excellent “Goliath’s Curse” to learn more on that).

If this process is occurring, most likely it would produce very simple hydrocarbon chains of natural gas (methane CH4), not crude oil. For more on that see the 2024 15 minute youtube video: “Fossil Fuels Don’t Come From Fossils? Tucker Carlson Fact Check” 3 minutes in for  6 minutes.

Continue reading

Posted in Oil, Ugo Bardi | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Egads! An unfair distribution of wealth is good for the climate

Preface. Good grief!!! I never thought I would write a post with that title. I am pro Democracy, pro fair distribution of wealth!  As you can see at posts here.

But it has occurred to me that if if everyone were well off, then everyone could buy more goods, so every resource would be consumed faster, with even more pollution and biodiversity loss.

The article concludes that this is a wicked problem: “Reducing inequality and poverty poses a moral and practical dilemma. Providing a more even distribution of income both within and between countries would worsen the climate problems. Should the majority really be kept in poverty in order to protect the climate? That doesn’t sound very fair. New technology is the only solution I can see,” said de Soysa.

What about birth control, family planning, taxing more than one child?  Amazing how taboo this idea is!  Perhaps the elites favor the Four Horsemen solution, since they have bunkers to retreat to. More likely they just want to get even richer, since they ridicule Limits to Growth.

Continue reading

Posted in Distribution of Wealth, Overshoot, Poverty, Social Disorder | Tagged , , | 5 Comments

Book review of 2024 Scheyder “The War Below”

Preface.  This post has excerpts from Scheyder’s 2024 “The War Below” about the  metals and minerals renewables will need – over 6 times more than fossil fueled internal combustion vehicles, natural gas and coal plants, and nuclear power (IEA 2021). I’ve excerpted some of what Scheyder has to say about various metals and mining, so it’s a bit disjointed and much is left out.  Do read the book.

Mining is already tremendously destructive, and now it is to be ramped up many-fold, which also will release even more CO2, affecting 38% of the Earth’s surface if carried out. The destruction will never end because “renewables” require fossil fuels for each step of their life cycle every 15 to 25 years. Recycling is mining and manufacturing, using a tremendous amount of fossil heat and chemicals, recovering only the most valuable metals, and much that could be recycled ends up in landfills instead.  Fortunately mining will end as the concentrations of metals in ores keep getting lower, since getting them out requires more and more energy at a time when fossil fuel production is plateauing and about to decline. Meanwhile we have left yet another huge mess on the planet for future generations that “clean and green” renewable cheerleaders will only make worse.

Continue reading

Posted in Energy Books, Limits To Growth, Mining, Peak Copper, Peak Critical Elements, Peak Rare Earth Elements | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Summary of Greenpeace “Nuclear Reactor Hazards”

Source: Nuclear power is dirty, dangerous and expensive. Say no to new nukes.

Preface.  This is a summary of: Hirsch H (2005) Nuclear Reactor Hazards Ongoing Dangers of Operating Nuclear Technology in the 21st Century.  Greenpeace International.

The revival of the nuclear power industry, mainly to keep data centers, AI, and cryptocurrencies alive is insane. Keep the lights on for 3 generations and poison the next 30,000 generations with nuclear waste that can last thousands of years to a million or more?  Nuclear cannot balance the quick ups and downs of wind and solar power to prevent the grid from crashing, it is harmful to dangerous to raise or lower the power quickly, it takes hours. At best nuclear power can load follow — ramp up slowly to meet morning or late afternoon demand.

As nuclear power plants age, they grow more and more likely to fail. Especially after 20 years. Not surprising, since they were only built to last 20 to 40 years, and now their lives are being extended up to 80 years.

Nuclear cheerleaders say that permanent waste storage is not a problem because we know how to bury it, which still hasn’t happened anywhere on the planet, though Finland is digging a large hole now, thanks to a very educated populace who didn’t oppose it. Nor will we ever be able to reprocess the waste in fast reactors, yet another false promise of SMR promoters.

Nuclear is not cheap. Cleaning up the mess at the Hanford site in Washington may cost $641 billion  (Frank 2022) and Fukushima over $1 trillion. And a nuclear fuel pool fire could cost $2 trillion and force millions of people to evacuate.

Continue reading

Posted in Books, Nuclear Books, Nuclear Power Energy, Nuclear spent fuel fire | Tagged , , , | Comments Off on Summary of Greenpeace “Nuclear Reactor Hazards”

Richard Heinberg: Environmental-Political Collapse Accelerates

Preface. Another wise post with great insights and predictions about where we are today from Richard Heinberg, the foremost scholar of Peak oil, overshoot, ecology, and more. Some excerpts:

“…A basic understanding of overshoot reveals that our modern industrial way of life is unsustainable at anything like its current scale and intensity. Whether as a result of pollution or resource depletion, human population and per-capita consumption will peak and start to decline, most likely during the next decade or two. But it gets worse: during our brief binge of industrialism we humans have found strategies (including corporate globalization and the proliferation of credit and debt in a widening variety of forms) to maximize consumption in the short term; when these strategies inevitably falter, the result will likely be an even faster decline in population and consumption than might be expected on the basis of ecological factors alone.

The inability of national governments to forestall climate change could easily have been predicted decades ago. That’s because stopping global warming is fundamentally at odds with the underlying growthist agenda of the modern world. And most political and business leaders care more about advancing that agenda in the short term than they do about ensuring human survival in the longer term.

A metaphorical hurricane is coming. Cover the windows and make sure your family, friends, and neighbors are safe.”

Continue reading

Posted in Caused by Scarce Resources, Politics, Richard Heinberg | Tagged , , , , | Comments Off on Richard Heinberg: Environmental-Political Collapse Accelerates

Peak Helium

Preface.

Attention all you capitalists who think we can grow forever on a finite planet. Stuff can run out! Helium is the only element on earth that is completely nonrenewable.  

A supply crisis is expected by 2060 (Hu 2025). Commercial helium is commonly found in association with natural gas, which is also finite. Only a handful of gas fields in the United States possess commercial value for helium extraction.

Helium has only 30-200 years of reserves, with 90 % concentrated in four countries: 34% in Russia, 25% in Qatar, 18% in the United States, and 1% in Algeria. Meanwhile, you can still get party balloons filled with helium!  Well if it is running, party on, though when you see the industries it is essential for — well, I just hope you never need an MRI. And we can all agree we’re on the computer and watch TV too much, so when helium is gone, there go the optical fibers – the backbone of the internet, telephone systems, computer networks, cable TV.

Helium prices have reached unprecedented levels in 2025, rocketing up 400% in recent years due to fundamental supply-demand imbalances.

 

Continue reading

Posted in Peak Critical Elements | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Geography, Resources, & the Destiny of Nations

Preface. Jared Diamond’s famous book “Guns, Germs, and Steel” discussed why some nations were so much more successful than others. Much success came from nearby nations who bootstrapped each other up with new ideas, crops, and ideas. Especially Eurasia due to how easy it was to travel across this vast area.

This is a book review of Marshall’s “Prisoners of Geography: Ten Maps That Explain Everything About the World.”  It goes into more detail about the geography of nations and regions and how that affected their ability to defend or conquer other nations, resources, and their people. Continue reading

Posted in Peak Resources | Comments Off on Geography, Resources, & the Destiny of Nations

DOGE could have been great. Instead it blew everything up

Preface.  You may remember that a movement called “Code for America” founded in 2009, used technology to improve government services and make them more efficient and accessible.  This post is a book review of Pahlka’s 2023 “Recoding America” about how they made government agencies more efficient and why it is so hard to do.

If only Trump had sent in Code for America to make government more efficient. DOGE did the exact opposite, a corrupt chainsaw – no, an atomic bomb — blowing up agencies by firing employees and dismantling them, making them far less efficient.

Continue reading

Posted in Corruption, Corruption & Finance | Tagged , , , , | Comments Off on DOGE could have been great. Instead it blew everything up
Aside

Preface. After seeing the film “The Power of Community: How Cuba survived Peak Oil” in 2006, I thought about how those lessons might apply to California, which grows about a third of U.S. food.  Much of what follows in the post below is based on the excellent Oxfam analysis of the complexities involved in Cuba and its food production reforms.

After reading the Pulitzer prize winning “Cuba: An American History (2021),” I learned that the main way Cuba coped with the fall of the Soviet Union and consequent lack of oil was to open up Cuba’s economy to development. Europeans built many hotels and vacationed there. Tourism became an even bigger industry than sugar.  And that Cubans are even more wonderful and the U.S. more evil and responsible for their condition that I had known before. You can visit despite all their problems, they are keeping the lights on in the tourist districts according to friends who were there in December 2024.

Continue reading