Oil shortages and climate change may lead to refugee camps even in the U.S. and Europe

[ Will refugee camps be the cities of tomorrow in the U.S. and other developed nations? As oil shortages disrupt supply chains; food shortages grow larger every year from climate change, topsoil erosion, and shortages of natural-gas fertilizer; and rising sea levels displace millions, what other choice besides refugee camps will governments have? 

The alternative is mass migrations overwhelming areas that are still managing to cope, disease, starvation, militias raiding homes and ransacking them for food, and other social disorder. 

Refugee camps, Hoovervilles — call them what you will — are a way to concentrate people in a small area where it is easier to provide food and other aid, and keep other areas not in crisis yet from being overwhelmed by evacuees. 

There are of course, other choices. When Japan saw the U.S. was about to cut off their oil supplies, they started World War II.  When North Korea stopped receiving oil and food aid, they built nuclear weapons to blackmail other nations for aid, and only a small elite lives well while millions have died and tens of millions suffer.  Other ways governments have coped in the past are concentration camps and collective farms.  So however dismal a refugee camp might appear to be, it sure beats the alternatives.

Although the article below is about refugees who have fled their home country,  tomorrow’s refugees will be climate change and energy and natural resource shortage refugees. For example, as heat, drought, lack of water, and a lack of 24 x 7 electricity prevent air-conditioners from working, many in Arizona will flee to other states.  Hurricanes and sea level rise will swamp homes, refineries, nuclear power plants, and electricity generation, sending millions in coastal states inland.

Maybe its time for local governments to plan for permanent refugee camps and  have plenty of birth control pills on hand so that the misery doesn’t continue to grow at a time when everything else is shrinking.

Alice Friedemann   www.energyskeptic.com  author of “When Trucks Stop Running: Energy and the Future of Transportation”, 2015, Springer and “Crunch! Whole Grain Artisan Chips and Crackers”. Podcasts:  KunstlerCast 253, KunstlerCast278, Peak Prosperity , XX2 report ]

Kurt Kohlstedt.  2015-12-1. Cities of Tomorrow: Refugee Camps Require Longer-Term Thinking. weburbanist

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Former mayor of the world’s second-largest refugee camp, humanitarian Kilian Kleinschmidt notes “the average stay today in a camp is 17 years. That’s a generation.” These places need to be recognized as what they are: “cities of tomorrow,” not the temporary spaces we like to imagine. “In the Middle East, we were building camps: storage facilities for people. But the refugees were building a city,” Kleinschmidt said in an interview. Short-term thinking on camp infrastructure leads to perpetually poor conditions, all based on myopic optimism regarding the intended lifespan of these places.

Many refugees may never be able return home, and that reality needs to be realized and incorporated into solutions. Treating their situation as temporary or reversible puts people into a kind of existential limbo; inhabitants of these interstitial places can neither return to their normal routines nor move forward with their lives.. On the one hand, assert experts like Kleinschmidt, planners need build up refugee camps to be durable and sufficient places in their own right. On the other, they also need to move refugee migrants toward countries and regions where they will end up virtuously integrated into struggling economies, including (though controversially): areas of nearby Europe with unused housing and high labor needs.

refugee housing

Beyond providing more thoroughly for essentials, Kleinschmidt sees additional opportunities to enable refugees with new technologies: “With a [3D-printing] Fab Lab people could produce anything they need – a house, a car, a bicycle, generating their own energy, whatever,” he said. Unfortunately, governmental bureaucracies and aid organizations are reluctant to push boundaries and try new approaches. More fundamentally: they frequently fail to recognize the need for robust solutions that help facilitate refugees who are themselves working hard to create real places for living.

refugee housing ikea

“I think we have reached the dead end almost where the humanitarian agencies cannot cope with the crisis,” he said. “We’re doing humanitarian aid as we did 70 years ago after the second world war. Nothing has changed.” Kleinschmidt worked with the United Nations and their High Commission for Refugees for 25 years before starting an independent consultancy that continues to address humanitarian issues around the globe.

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10 Responses to Oil shortages and climate change may lead to refugee camps even in the U.S. and Europe

  1. Ken Barrows says:

    Sure, 3D printing is the solution. Is it better net energy than what came before it? Or is it just an electricity consuming, plastic wasting gadget? It’s technology so it must be appropriate.

  2. sheila chambers says:

    “Refugee” camps will become death camps as we will not be able to feed everyone. Refugee camps will simply concentrate those “useless eaters” for easy, quick DISPOSAL.
    What so many people are overlooking & that those so called “renewables” are totally dependent upon OIL & they only produce unreliable, irratic, electricity & they produce NONE of the essential raw materials we must have to survive now.
    “Renewables” produce no liquid fuel, no fertilizer, no pesticides, no medicine, nothing to fuel our manufacturing or power our transportation system & we cannot eat electricity.
    “Renewables” cannot even replace the energy needed to produce them let alone the raw materials they need.
    “Renewables” are a false hope, people are going to wake up with empty stomachs that will stay empty even if they still have their lights on, the only real value of “renewables” is to keep the masses happy & buying until the trucks stop running & the grid goes down forever.

    You cannot replace oil with a technology that is tied to oil.

  3. Rice Farmer says:

    Unfortunately, the above poster is correct in saying that refugee camps will become de facto death camps. Even if those who create the camps have noble intentions, the resources to save refugees won’t be there. Further, we won’t have to wait for sea-level rise, as this catastrophe will start much sooner than we think due to other factors such as financial collapse.

  4. John Roberts says:

    Agreed.

    Once the financial system breaks the trucks will stop running. Everyone will turn to the governments for salvation. A grand plan will be designed but the thermodynamic collapse will be unavoidable.

    “Whenever it is they are saying ‘Peace and Security ‘ then sudden destruction will be instantly spin them.

  5. Trmist says:

    As you point out refugees will become much greater in numbers as time passes. No longer will huge numbers of refugees be the consequence of war and limited to the MENA region. Economic failures and climate change will bring refugee camps to North America within twenty years, perhaps sooner. If your not planning for the tough times ahead and setting your life up in a area that won’t be decimated by climate change or urban collapse you might end up in a camp. All the warning signs are flashing, ignore them at your peril.

  6. Tagio says:

    Many if not most suburbs will effectively become “camps” when the economy crashes hard with millions of jobs lost and we hit real problems with oil. Many will be trapped there with little ability to move.

  7. Cliffhanger says:

    No worries, they will be solar powered refugee camps (with battery backup)!

  8. Cliffhanger says:

    Simple really….when the World Economy Collapses everything shuts down…the end….we’re talking about grids down all over the world and 7.5B people dropping like f*** flies in short order…The collapse will be absolutely horrible..There is no collapse or horror movie ever produced that has even come close to imagining what the collapse of BAU might look like. I’m talking about every corporation and every social program going bankrupt at once.I’m talking about people eating people. I’m talking about the Worst Catastrophe to ever happen in the history of mankind. Nothing has ever, or will ever come close. The last law of nature: says that any creature that despoils and outbreeds its natural habitat will be culled to bring its numbers under control and restore a stable environment. We are the Reindeer on St Matthews, we are Easter Island, we are the mice in Calhoun’s Utopia. The planet Earth will soon have a crust of skulls and bones and dead machinery. And nobody can do a damn thing about it. (MIT Smithsonian Meadows 1972)
    (Royal Society Ehrlich 2013) (NASA Motesharrei 2012)
    (DOE Hirsch 2005) (Jefferson 2015) (Chapman,I 2013)(Korowicz 2012)(Tainter 1990) (Diamond 2006)

  9. Johnny says:

    Ummm…..oil shortages? It would seem that some recent, notable and fundamental changes in the world oil supply situation makes oil shortages one of the less likely events the world will bump into during the near to mid term?