Energy and potato crops. U.S. House Hearing 2011

Preface. We eat so many potatoes I thought it interesting how future oil shocks may reduce potato crops. Potatoes are very “oily” needing a great deal of diesel fuel over their life cycle of planting, harvest, delivery to sorting, grading, and shipping operations. Not to mention electricity (2/3 generated by coal and natural gas in the U.S.) to operate equipment, cool potato cellars, process and package product indirectly. Natural-gas fertilizers and petrochemicals are needed as critical inputs for crop production

The Russian/Ukraine war has already lead to rising oil & potato prices, and with peak oil likely in 2018, this will only get worse. Preppers: Think about stockpiling potato chips NOW

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Joseph Romm: we’re stealing from the next 100 billion people to walk the earth

Source: Lu (2021) Visualized: The Biggest Ponzi Schemes in Modern History. Visual Capitalist

Preface. Joseph Romm writes that the exponential growth Ponzi Scheme is consuming the resources of the next 100 billion people. Our children and grandchildren.  And I’d guess for anyone under 60 years old today with peak oil likely to have happened in 2018. We’re out of time. Speed limits are still 80 mph in Nevada…

Romm’s post was originally at http://climateprogress.org/2009/03/08/ponzi-scheme-madoff-friedman-natural-capital-renewable-resources/ but has vanished from the internet and lives today only here. Romm has written a great deal about the crisis we’re in (though from a climate change, not energy decline point of view).  I first discovered him after reading “The Hype about Hydrogen”, which should have ended all the false hopes about this zero-energy resource, yet the hype continues today.

The second article estimates we’re using up $7.3 trillion of free natural resources a year. Hell, it’s probably a lot higher than that. I hate to use dollars, especially now that we are printing trilllions and seems like we could forever… But as the money / energy transition proceeds, digital and paper money will be worthless, energy worth everything.  The point is that all political parties want the endless growth Ponzi scheme, no matter what the price of pollution and destruction. Even the so-called Greens do, but with Green growth.

Alice Friedemann  www.energyskeptic.com  Author of Life After Fossil Fuels: A Reality Check on Alternative Energy; When Trucks Stop Running: Energy and the Future of Transportation”, Barriers to Making Algal Biofuels, & “Crunch! Whole Grain Artisan Chips and Crackers”.  Women in ecology  Podcasts: WGBH, Jore, Planet: Critical, Crazy Town, Collapse Chronicles, Derrick Jensen, Practical Prepping, Kunstler 253 &278, Peak Prosperity,  Index of best energyskeptic posts

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Romm J (2009) Is the global economy a Ponzi scheme, are we all Bernie Madoffs, and what comes next? climateprogress.org and now only here:

By “paying ourselves” with the wealth from future generations — indeed, from the next 50 generations and next 100 billion people to walk the earth we cleverly took advantage of victims not yet born, those not able to even know they were being robbed.

Madoff is reviled as a monster for targeting charities. We are targeting our own children and grandchildren and on and on. What does that make us?

Yes, homo “sapiens” have constructed the grandest of Ponzi schemes, whereby current generations have figured out how to live off the wealth of future generations. Yes, we are all in essence Madoffs (many wittingly, most not) or at least his most credulous clients.

“We created a way of raising standards of living that we can’t possibly pass on to our children. We have been getting rich by depleting all our natural stocks — water, hydrocarbons, forests, rivers, fish and arable land — and not by generating renewable flows.

In our Ponzi Scheme, investors (i.e. current generations) are paying themselves (i.e. you and me) by taking the nonrenewable resources and livable climate from future generations. To perpetuate the high returns the rich countries in particular have been achieving in recent decades, we have been taking an ever greater fraction of nonrenewable energy resources (especially hydrocarbons) and natural capital (fresh water, arable land, forests, fisheries), and, the most important nonrenewable natural capital of all — a livable climate.

The system is destined to collapse because the earnings, if any, are less than the payments.

Usually, the scheme is interrupted by legal authorities before it collapses because a Ponzi scheme is suspected or because the promoter is selling unregistered securities. But in this Ponzi scheme, the authorities (i.e. world leaders, opinion makers, the cognoscenti) haven’t been doing much interrupting over the past two to three decades since, unlike a typical Ponzi scheme, they are heavily invested in the scheme and addicted to the returns!

By enriching those who did the most plundering the most, we enabled them to fund lobbying and disinformation campaigns to convince substantial fractions of the public and media that there is no Ponzi scheme — that global warming is “too complicated for the public to understand” and nothing to worry about.

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Roberts D (2013) None of the world’s top industries would be profitable if they paid for the natural capital they use. A sobering new study finds that the world’s biggest industries burn through $7.3 trillion worth of free natural capital a year. And it’s the only reason they turn a profit. Grist. https://grist.org/business-technology/none-of-the-worlds-top-industries-would-be-profitable-if-they-paid-for-the-natural-capital-they-use/

Globalglassonion summarizes” as follows: David Roberts at Grist summarized a report by the environmental consultant group Trucost, at the behest of The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity over at the United Nations. The idea behind the report was simple. Tally up all the world’s natural capital — land, water, atmosphere, etc. — that doesn’t currently have a dollar value attached to it, and figure out the price.  Figure how much of that natural capital is being consumed, depleted or degraded without the responsible party paying the cost for that use. The number the study hit on was a staggering $7.3 trillion in 2009 — about 13% of global economic output for that year. In a theoretically perfect market, the price of consuming, degrading or depleting a resource would be paid by the party responsible.But getting the theory of markets to map onto the real world is difficult. Dumping trash on a neighbor’s lawn is technically free, so a lot of us should be doing it more. But because we’ve built societies in which our neighbor can sue us, or the cops can fine us, we’re forced to internalize that cost. Lots of costs can only be internalized through smart institutional design and govern

 

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Prime movers of human evolution

Preface. The human brain and culture evolved at an astonishing rate, making scientists wonder what conditions and ecological pressures drove it, why we became homo sapiens so quickly. This is a post that will grow over time as I find new reasons and go back over my other research to assemble existing theories. So far I summarize bipedalism and have a book review of “The 10,000 Year Explosion. How Civilization Accelerated Human Evolution”. But there’s climate change, our opposable thumb making it possible to manipulate objects well, fire, increasing eusociality, and more.

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Review of Lights out: the electricity crisis, the global economy, and what it means to you

Preface. My books and energyskeptic.com explain why the electric grid can’t stay up.  This is a book review of Makansi’s “Lights out: the electricity crisis, the global economy, and what it means to you”. He explains why the grid is falling apart, and since then it’s only gotten worse. Now the decaying grid is starting wildfires in California, which I know from first-hand experience: our home burned down in the 1991 Oakland firestorm. I’ll write about this more when I review the book “California Burning: The Fall of Pacific Gas and Electric–and What It Means for America’s Power Grid” by Katherine Blunt.

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Delay, Deny, Defend: Why insurance companies don’t pay claims

This is a post about disaster insurance, and our own nightmare experience in dealing with the insurance company after our house burned down in the 1991 Oakland California firestorm.  Plus a book review of Feinman’s 2010 book “Delay, Deny, Defend: Why Insurance companies don’t pay claims and what you can do about it”.  If only this book had existed in 1991!  And by the way, one reason you don’t know about this is that everyone who finally settles with an insurance company signs a nondisclosure agreement, so I am not stating which company we were with. But I can say that nearly all behaved badly because we were in touch with neighbors who were members of at least 20 different insurance companies. So be sure to do research at United Policyholders and other sites mentioned below before buying insurance.

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California Governor Newsom goes furthest to soften collapse of any U.S. state

Preface. In September 2022, Governor Gavin Newsom passed 12 bills making abortion easier to obtain, and invites women from states where abortion is forbidden to come here.

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Collapse of Mayan civilization: drought, mercury poisoning, toxic algae

Preface. Drought is probably reason #1, but collapse is complex, I’ve seen lists of over 200 reasons for the Fall of the Roman Empire, and our own fall will have even more causes, though triggered by energy decline, since for now, cheap oil hides how far we’ve fallen into ecological collapse. With oil you can pump up deep underground aquifers, recover from hurricanes, move food thousands of miles, catch the last fish in Antarctica…

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Deforestation in the news

Preface. I wrote in “Life after fossil fuels” that as energy declined, it would be hard to cut down distant forests with limited oil supplies.  I thought this because even in Britain, so denuded of trees people turned to filthy coal, forests still existed. This was because trees needed to be near rivers or waterways to transport their timber to towns and cities. Overland horses could transport wood perhaps 10 miles or less since roads were awful if they existed at all.  But today due to the war in Ukraine and Russia cutting off oil, gas, and coal to Europe & Ukraine, people are driving to forests and cutting them down for heat in the winter since oil still exists at reasonable prices.

Forests in Europe and elsewhere are already being decimated by Europe’s need for wood — biomass is over half of the EU “renewable” energy. Though there are forests inaccessible due to lack of roads or too far from towns and cities, such as the boreal regions.  But even these forests may disappear as they go up in smoke from global warming wildfires and bark beetles.

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Review of “Vision or Mirage: Saudi Arabia at the Crossroads”

Preface.  This is a book review of Rundell’s “Vision or Mirage: Saudi Arabia at the Crossroads”. If this book is right, things have gotten a lot better in Saudi Arabia than when my other review on Saudi Arabia was written (here).  But King Salman’s reforms have made Saudi Arabia more unstable. This is where 20% of the remaining conventional oil reserves are, which will grow in importance if world oil production peaked in 2018, potentially triggering resource wars.

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Human sprawl and wildlife destruction: a book review of “Nature Wars”

Preface.  This is a book review of Sterba’s “Nature Wars” and our interaction with wildlife as our insanely huge population growth wipes out nature.

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