Category Archives: Peak Coal

Gail Tverberg: Why peak coal, oil, and natural gas will all happen at the same time

China: Is peak coal part of its problem? by Gail Tverberg,  OurFiniteWorld.com  | Jun 20, 2016 The world’s coal resources are clearly huge. How could China, or the world in total, reach peak coal in a timeframe that makes a … Continue reading

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Peak coal 2013-2045 — most likely 2025-2030

Dennis Coyne. March 11, 2016. Coal Shock Model. peakoilbarrel.com Coal is an important energy resource, but we do not know how the size of the economically recoverable resource that will eventually be recovered. The mainstream view is that there are extensive coal … Continue reading

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Scientific American: Peak oil and coal may keep catastrophic climate change in check

[ Since conventional oil, 90% of supply, peaked in 2005-6 we’ve been on a plateau.  Since the rate of conventional oil decline exponentially decreasing, and population is still exponentially increasing, it is unlikely unconventional oil like shale “fracked” oil, tar … Continue reading

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Peak Fossil Fuels: overview of peak oil, coal, and natural gas

[ Below are overviews of peak oil, coal, and natural gas, each followed by additional reading material from my book “When trucks stop running”. My book also explains why we are unlikely to be able to electrify transportation, as well … Continue reading

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Dennis Coyne predicts world coal production peak in 2025-2030

See Coyne’s article at: Dennis Coyne. March 11, 2016. Coal Shock Model. peakoilbarrel.com [ The IPCC has not invited geologists to estimate fossil reserves, and sides with the “no limits to growth” economists.  The IPCC believes that too expensive or … Continue reading

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USGS says Powder River Basin has 40 years of coal reserves, not 250

[ The Powder River Basin (PRB) in Wyoming and Montana supplies 42% of coal in the United States, mainly to generate electricity across the nation.  So far 11 billion tons of coal filling 95 million rail cars have been removed. … Continue reading

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Gas-to-Liquids (GTL) & Coal-to-liquids (CTL) can not compensate for declining oil production

[ Some of the points made include: As a rule-of-thumb, a 50-60% thermal efficiency can be used for hydrocarbon liquefaction in general assessments. This implies that only half of the coal energy invested in liquefaction will come out as energy … Continue reading

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Peak Coal in China likely to be around 2024

Mohr, S. H., et al. February 1, 2015. Projection of world fossil fuels by country. Fuel volume 141: 120-135. We model world fossil fuel production by country including unconventional sources. Scenarios suggest coal production peaks before 2025 due to China. … Continue reading

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Energy Watch Group: Worldwide Peak Coal & Natural Gas 2020, Peak Oil 2012

SUMMARY: Based on data from all over the world, the Energy Watch Group concludes that 2005 Peak Crude Oil 2012 Peak Crude oil plus unconventional liquids 2019 Peak Natural Gas worldwide 2020 Peak coal 40% decline in oil production by … Continue reading

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Peak oil 2005. Peak coal 2025. U.S. Peak conventional natural gas 2001.

[ This appeared in Nature magazine in 2012, which ties Science magazine for most prestigious place to publish.  Some of the points made: Global conventional oil peaked in 2005 and is declining at rates of about 4.5% to 6.7% per … Continue reading

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