A Nuclear spent fuel pool fire could force millions to evacuate & cost $2 trillion

Preface. Nuclear cheerleaders love to talk about how safe nuclear power is.  You will never ever hear them talk about nuclear fuel pools because that would destroy their argument. Though like Limits to Growth and Malthusian overpopulation dismissed by capitalists, they would probably use the same “it hasn’t happened so it will never happen”. Continue reading

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A Mega Storm in California might cost $1 trillion & destroy a third of America’s food

Preface. Hurricane Katrina cost somewhere between $109 and $250 billion dollars (Amadero 2017). Estimates of hurricane Harvey range from $100 to $190 billion (Kollewe 2017, Lanktree 2017).

The next California ArkStorm is likely to cost $900 billion, or even a trillion dollars (NRA 2013 Schlosberg 2020).

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Sodium Sulfur Batteries

Recent research progress in sodium ion batteries: (a) cathode, (b) anode, (c) electrolyte and (d) binder. Source: Hwang J (2017) Sodium-ion batteries: present and future. Chem. Soc. Review 46: 3529-3614  DOI: 10.1039/C6CS00776G

Preface. If lithium were used for both EV and utility scale energy storage, reserves would not last long. But there’s a lot of sodium. A sodium battery is better than lithium as well because it is safer and keeps most of the charge when temperatures fall far below freezing.

But sodium batteries have an enormous disadvantage: they need to be bigger than lithium batteries to hold the same electrical charge. So this doesn’t solve the #1 energy crisis problem: Transportation. They’d be far too heavy to electrify long-haul trucks, tractors, locomotives, ships, and other heavy-duty vehicles that run on diesel.

Their best use would be large-scale electric grid energy storage. In fact, Sodium sulfur (NaS) batteries are the only kind of large-scale energy storage for which there are enough materials on earth (Barnhart 2013).

Although Barnhart may be wrong about the amounts of sulfur available. Sure, sulfur is the fifth most common element in the world, but deposits large enough to exploit are extremely rare, mostly near volcanoes. Most sulfur or sulfates are combined with copper, iron, lead, zinc, barium, calcium (aka gypsum), magnesium, and sodium.

Today 80% comes from oil and natural gas refining into pure elemental sulfur, safe and easy to transport, unlike sulfuric acid, and with the bonus of preventing sulfur dioxide emissions and acid rain. But there are scientists warning about 25 years of conventional oil left in the world at current rates of consumption. Others say more than that. But whatever the amount left, exponential growth from population and capitalism shortens consumption time.

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Book review: Atomic Days. The Untold Story of the Most Toxic Place in America

Preface. Plutonium for nuclear weapons was produced at the Hanford Washington site for nearly four decades. Today it is the world’s most polluted site chock-a-block with radioactive waste and toxic chemicals.

The department of energy estimates a clean-up could cost as much as $641 billion dollars (DOE 2022). Six years ago, the estimate was $110 billion.  It’s a ticking time bomb that could release radioactive materials like Chernobyl and Fukushima if facilities were ruptured by an earthquake, fire, or explosion.

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Bill Gates Gen IV sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) in Wyoming

Source: Japan abandons Monju fast reactor: the slow death of a nuclear dream. The Ecologist. ‘Fast breeder’ reactors are promoted by nuclear enthusiasts as the clean, green energy technology of the future. But all the evidence tells us they are a catastrophic failure: complex, expensive, unreliable and accident-prone. Is Japan’s decision to abandon its Monju reactor the latest nail in the coffin of a dead technology? Or the final stake through its rotten heart?

Preface.  A GEN IV sodium-cooled fast reactor is such a bad idea that I am stunned Bill Gates would support it. Worse yet, a lot of the $4.5 billion cost  for the Wyoming reactor is not his money, it’s taxpayer dollars.

These types of GEN IV reactors are called sodium-cooled Small Modular Reactors (SMR), or Sodium cooled fast reactors (SFR). No matter what you call them, they have always failed over the past 70 years, mainly due to higher risk of breakout fires than standard light water reactors. On contact with air sodium burns, with water explodes. There is a much higher risk of accidents.

What follows is a letter written by Arnie Gundersen who makes a good case for why these are not worth building.

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Want to survive Peak Everything? Become a Mormon

Source: Salt Lake Tribune. For Latter-day Saint families, preparing for emergencies is the norm

Preface.  Ted Koppel’s book “Lights Out” highlights the many risks to the grid from cyber and physical attacks, electromagnetic pulses from weapons or solar flares, large transformer failures, and simply falling apart because it is very old and is falling apart at a time when it needs to be expanded for electric cars and trucks, which would require 40% of all electricity produced today.

The LDS church Mormons are by far the most prepared for the grid going out for weeks or months, which Koppel explains would kill many Americans (according to the congressional testimony here, a year-long grid outage could kill 90% of us)

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Book review of No friends but the Mountains. Dispatches from the worlds violent highlands

Preface. I am fascinated by war and conflict, and especially in this book which shows how societies and conflicts are similar across time and mountain ranges all over the world. These cultures may be inevitable due to the harsh environments. Those of you trying to decide where to be postcarbon will especially find this of interest. As well as my book review of Ramp Hollow: The Ordeal of Appalachia.

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Why tight fracked oil and gas is mostly extracted in the US

Source: Smithsonian. May 2013 map of shale oil and gas formation. fource U.S. EIA & USGS.

Preface.  Unconventional US (and some Canadian) fracked tight oil was over 90% of how oil production increased after conventional oil peaked in 2008, but US fracked oil peaked in 2018 (and consequently all world oil, both conventional and unconventional also peaked then).  Only the Permian shale basin is not in decline yet.

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Fusion: Book review of “Sun in a Bottle”

Preface. I don’t know of a book or article that better explains fusion and why fusion is so difficult and far from being commercial. Or ever commercial for that matter. Except for hydrogen bombs.

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Book Cobalt: The Making of a Mining Superpower

Preface. This book is about the history of the town of Cobalt and would make a great horror movie — the disease, filth, poverty, poor wages, racism, and destruction of the environment — the biodiversity, fresh water and more.

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